Americans head to polling stations on November 3 for midterm elections that will determine congressional control for the next two years, with Democrats holding leads in five key Senate races according to NYT-Siena polls and Republicans defending seats in states that voted for President Trump three times.

The party in power traditionally loses seats during midterm election years, and Republicans face that historical headwind as they fight to maintain control of both chambers. Democrats are seeking to capitalize on President Trump's declining approval ratings and voter dissatisfaction with the cost-of-living crisis, exacerbated by the US-Israel war on Iran.

Trump's Veto Strategy

President Trump has vowed to counter any Democratic legislative agenda with a wave of vetoes. During a midterm rally on October 27, Trump told supporters he would "veto everything" if Democrats take control of Congress, promising to issue vetoes "for a month or two" before reaching compromises.

The White House has mapped out a governing strategy that relies heavily on executive actions and the presidential veto pen. Democrats would be unlikely to secure the two-thirds majority in both chambers needed to override presidential vetoes, even if they win control on Tuesday.

Key Battlegrounds

Republicans built in a hedge through unprecedented redistricting efforts, which could help offset losses in competitive districts. The GOP is defending Senate seats in red states where Trump won decisively in 2020, 2024, and again in hypothetical matchups, but Democratic momentum has put several of those seats in play.

Secretary of State Marco Rubio has downplayed concerns about a potential Democratic wave, while Trump continues his midterm campaign blitz across competitive states. The former president has expressed optimism that Republicans can retain both chambers despite polling showing Democratic advantages in multiple races.

What's at Stake

If Democrats win majorities in the House of Representatives or Senate, the final two years of Trump's presidency will look markedly different from his first term. A Democratic Congress could launch investigations, block judicial nominees, and pass legislation forcing Trump into high-profile veto fights on healthcare, immigration, and foreign policy.

Courts could also block executive actions that exceed presidential authority, creating a new front in the battle between the legislative and executive branches. The outcome will shape Trump's ability to advance his agenda and set the stage for the 2028 presidential race.